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August 6, 1945, was a fateful day.
As the bombardier on the Enola Gay released his cargo upon an
unsuspecting and undefended Hiroshima, the ending of 70,000 lives
ushered in the atomic age. Never before had the world seen such
instruments of destruction in the hands of so few. A few decades
later, we question the integrity and sanity of the leaders of
both superpowers. Much has changed, but not the spectre of nuclear
war which still hangs heavily in the air. Above all, fear prevails.
What little confidence we might have had in the Soviet leadership
was blasted out of the sky on the shameful night of September
1, 1983, along with 269 innocent citizens of the free world. Most
Americans no longer think of war as a means of settling global
disputes. When there is conflict amongst nations which possess
nuclear weapons, it is clearly possible that in a given half hour
the world as we know it could cease to exist.
This time, when the rights of the citizens of
12 free countries were so shamelessly violated, we stood by and
watched the denials, the lies, and finally the arrogant admission
that, yes, the Soviets had shot down our 'spy' plane.
Some feared that a war would be startedover the
incident. No one really knew what to expect in those tense moments
after it was rumored that the airliner was missing and we began
to piece together the awful truth. Certainly the Soviets deserved
a swift and stern response. What to do? Any military response
that we might have offered to avenge the deaths of our compatriots
could have plunged us headlong into a holocaust.
At the start of World War I, it was just such
an incident that provoked global hostilities. The Lusitania, a
British luxury liner, was torpedoed by a German sub-marine. Among
the 1,959 passengers and crew on board, there were fewer than
800 survivors. How was the Lusitania different from KAL Flight
007? Both were innocent, unarmed passenger liners, and both were
victims of the aggression of political systems which valued their
ideology over human life.
Who is going to take responsibility for this
tragedy? As usual, within less than a week, the Soviet state-controlled
press was blaming the United States. What's more, they asserted
that they would not hesitate to fire their missiles again under
similar circumstances.
Ironically, Soviet Bear bombers regularly violate U.S. airspace.
Do we shoot them down? No way. Furthermore, KAL 007 was a passenger
plane, not a bomber capable of carrying nuclear weapons. Nuclear
weapons have changed the rules of the game. It is no longer possible
to take vengeance without the threat of planetary extinction.
Disputes between the major powers are settled at the bargaining
table.
None dare cross the line between apparent
peace and war. It is the paradox of today's existence. On one
hand, we find ourselves in a technologically oriented society
without equal in the history of the world. On the other hand,
this same technology which has freed humanity from toil now has
the ability to catapult him back into the dark ages over night.
The imminent possibility of a nuclear war has led nations—some
reluctantly—to negotiation. It seems that a new type of
diplomacy has been born, making it in the best interests of both
superpowers to reach an agreement-- any agreement. Any agreement
is better than none, for if there are differences, we edge ever
closer to the brink of planetary self-annihilation.
Humankind has every right to fear itself. The distrust between
nations has been with us as long as nations themselves. There
has never been a period where the strong have not preyed upon
the weak, where governments have not used military might for unfair
advantage.
So what is different now? Our level
of fear leads us to compromise. Whether it be America's reluctance
to protect its vital interests in Central America or the Middle
East, the inching of our once invincible Atlantic Alliance ever
closer to the Soviet camp, or our failure to respond to the downing
of KAL 007—we are paralyzed with fear. Fear that our society,
upon which we have grown dependent, will be taken away from us.
Fear that a nuclear holocaust will end it all.
Fear that is in certain respects wholly justified.
A nuclear war may leave survivors, but to do what? What does a
software engineer from the Santa Clara Valley do when he comes
home from his skiing vacation at Mammoth only to find a crater
in the ground? He may be alive, but he has spent his entire life
training for and participating in the New Class of high technologists.
Now he is forced to learn overnight to till the soil and produce
food for his family.
The government would be incapable of doing much of anything in
the initial aftermath of a nuclear war. Even if the best-case
scenario is examined, we come out losers. Suppose we win the war.
Suppose we utterly destroy the Russians, their industry, their
military, and their leadership (which is highly improbable). We
would sustain immeasurable losses in all areas. Let us assume
for the argument that there are 40 million survivors: people who
live in the country, people on vacation in various remote locations,
or 'lucky' ones in the suburbs of ruined cities.
Many of these stunned victims might wish they were dead, but,
remaining alive, would have to forage for food on their own, care
for the injured and diseased, and establish some type of temporary
local leadership. The fragmented or perhaps nonexistent government
would have no way to communicate to the population as a whole.
There would be few, if any, surviving radio or television stations,
much less TV sets or radios—or even power to operate them.
Gasoline and spare parts would be scarce or unavailable. The only
medium of exchange would be barter, and the law of the jungle
would prevail. Truly the horror of "The Day After" would
be upon us.
Even if the United States government were still a cohesive force,
it could be 25 and possibly 50 years until things were even close
to normal. This is, of course, assuming that we had won the war.
25 years! That is anywhere from a third to a half or more of the
remaining lifespan of everyone alive today!
Given the state of today's politics, it may seem redundant to
expound upon the danger to society of a global nuclear conflict.
It bears repeating, because there are a number of steps each of
us can take to prevent it. If we do not constantly remind ourselves
of the fact that we can take an active role, it is easy to be
complacent, confronting only the problems of day-to-day living.
In fact, it is much more attractive psychologically to forget
that nuclear weapons exist at all. "If a nuclear bomb hits
our city, I won't know it anyway!" Sound familiar?
It is widely believed by many in the American and European peace
movements that nuclear weapons have changed the way war is fought;
and, as far as the perceptions of the West are concerned, they
have. Basically, they are deployed so that both sides reach a
stalemate in
which they are never used. This is deterrence. Our theoreticians
generally accept that nuclear war is not winnable. Unlike our
little scenario, both sides would sustain losses that would prevent
them from ever recovering as a nation—Or would they?
Foreseeably, the only people to survive a holocaust would be those
in remote areas. America has no appreciable civil defense program.
A visit to an old building (possibly a government building) might
yield a glimpse of a fading painted sign proclaiming: "Fallout
Shelter in Basement, Capacity 165." An almost quaint reminder
that 25 years ago people believed they might be protected by flocking
to the basement when the air-raid siren went off.
Today, it is generally accepted as folly that the inhabitants
of a city could do anything to protect themselves from a direct
nuclear attack—at least in America. My hometown of Colorado
Springs conducted air-raid drills on the fourth Friday of every
month at noon. As a child I wondered if the Russians might not
launch a strike on the city just when they knew we were having
a drill.
The nearby NORAD (North American Aerospace Defense) facility in
Cheyenne Mountain made a very attractive strategic target. Month
after month the siren would wail, bringing both the fear of annihilation
and the guilt that our nation had been the first to use the unspeakable
weapons. I was never allowed to forget the legacy of Hiroshima.
Growing up with this guilt and fear, I had nothing but revulsion
toward the weapons which held the populations of the world hostage.
When I was old enough to understand the reasons why, I could see
that the American view of weapons and war was very different from
that of our adversary. If I had grown up in Moscow, perhaps there
still would have been air-raid drills. But in Moscow, there are
underground bunkers of reinforced concrete, capable of withstanding
a nuclear near miss. By now, as an adult citizen of the Soviet
Union, I might feel confident that my country could survive a
nuclear war.
In fact, the idea of a winnable nuclear war as an instrument of
foreign policy is an integral part of Soviet military planning.
Although the very concept is repugnant to a citizen of either
nation, the Soviet leadership energetically embrace nuclear war.
Colonel D. Samorukov stated in 1973 (the height of the Nixon 'détente'
era):
'The most important features, which up to a considerable degree
will determine the composition of forces and material, and also
the order of their use in intensification of troop efforts in
an offensive, will be the constant readiness to use nuclear weapons.
(emphasis mine) Even in the nuclear age, high-ranking Soviet officials
continue in their belief that there are just and unjust wars.
An unjust war is one which is fought in the name of "imperialism"
or any war which opposes Soviet expansionism. A just war is one
that furthers the goals of the Soviet state, be it conventional
or nuclear.'
Marshal Andrei A. Grechko, Soviet Minister of Defense from 1967
to 1976, stated in 1974:
'Any war waged by the imperialists
on the USSR or other Socialist states will be unjust and reactionary.
When waged by the USSR or other Socialist states against imperialism,
any war is just and progressive, for it would be the continuation
of revolutionary policy.'
We are clearly shown the intent of the Soviet military planners.
They feel nuclear war is not only plausible and just, but winnable.
Under conditions where nuclear rockets are used
'. . . that side which manages during the first days of the war
to penetrate more deeply into enemy territory naturally acquires
the capability for more effectively using the results of its nuclear
attacks and disrupting the mobilization of the enemy. This is
especially important with respect to European theatres of operations
with their relatively small operative depth.' ( Marshal Vasily
D. Sokolovsky, Soviet Military Strategy, a major military text,
1968 edition)
The greatest concern of the European people has been over the
possibility of Europe being the battleground for a U.S.-Soviet
nuclear exchange. Examining the words of Sokolovsky, it is clear
that their concern is well-founded. After all, in 1968, the batteries
of SS-20, SS-21, SS-22, and SS-23 missiles now aimed at Europe
were not even in existence.
It seems that the Soviets have been whistling a different tune
of late. They paint themselves as genuine peace-lovers while pointing
the finger at the crazed, trigger-happy Americans. As recently
as 1982, Marshal Nikolai V. Ogarkov, Chief of the Soviet General
Staff, stated:
'The absence of the fatal inevitability of war does not in the
slightest exclude its occurrence in the contemporary era.'
When we examine our alternatives of action to
prevent nuclear war, the first and foremost consideration should
be how to deal with the Soviet Union. Since it is Soviet weapons
which would devastate our cities, and Soviet generals who would
carry out the attack, we should consider carefully the attitudes
of these individuals. (Note carefully my distinction between the
Soviet military leaders and the Russian people. The Russian people
are victims of their political system who desire peace every bit
as much as American citizens.)
Judging from the recent actions of the Soviet military, we can
infer that it is possible for a local commander of an air base
to order the destruction of an unarmed civilian jetliner. It was
insinuated that the pilot who shot down that 747 was acting on
orders from his local base commander. In the aftermath of the
incident, many opinions were formulated by the Western media.
Above all the furor, the point was made
that since Soviet radar and aircraft tracked the Korean plane
for two and one-half hours before the Su-15 actually launched
its missiles, authorization could have come straight from Moscow.
The Soviets insist that Andropov was on vacation at the time of
the attack, but it is well known that the leaders of both superpowers
are in constant communication with their respective military establishments.
The implications are frightening either way. If it is possible
for a local air base commander to have ordered the attack, how
can we know for sure that it would not be possible for that same
impulsive commander to commit further atrocities which, if on
a larger scale, might escalate to
a holocaust? On the other hand, if Andropov was behind the incident,
who knows what kind of inhuman—and perhaps nuclear—barbarism
we can expect from Soviet leadership in the future.
Frankly, reading quotes from these Soviet leaders scares me. The
same planners who would be the ones to carry out the orders to
attack Los Angeles or New York have the philosophy that it is
in the order of their 'revolutionary policy'. They are willing
to face the reprisals. In fact, not attacking the enemy is more
likely to get them demoted or penalized than attacking in error.
To them it is just more strategy, more calculation. That is the
real nature of the Soviet system. To us, it is unthinkable.
Whether or not the Soviets might attempt a first strike is inconsequential.
The capability to do so is what is important. Soviet ideology
has been one of constant expansionism. They have annexed and subjugated
more territory than any other nation in recorded history. They
are continually at war. "The peace of the world," in
the eyes of Soviet Defense Minister Dmitri Ustinov, "depends
on the military readiness and the military capabilities of the
Soviet armed forces."
A peace under the umbrella of the
Soviet Union means peace on their terms. It is believed by many
in this country that life in Russia is really not a whole lot
different from what they are used to in America—at any rate
better than the prospect of nuclear holocaust. (Better Red than
dead!) How much they take for granted! The dirty little secret
that has come out over the years is that life is infinitely better
for the common man under our system than in the 'worker's paradise'.
Peace without freedom is no peace at all. Witness Poland.
The Poles have been under Soviet domination since 1947. To this
day, there is no peace in their land. The government forces the
people to work in unfavorable conditions without recourse. Their
one attempt at organized labor—Solidarity—was at first
recognized and then banned with the institution of martial law.
It was replaced by a mockery.
The official state-sponsored trade union, PRON
(the Patriotic Front for National Rebirth), is just one more government
office whose only function is to disseminate the party line and
try to convince the angry and frustrated Poles that it is what
they really want. The basic right to assemble has been denied
them along with every other right guaranteed by our Constitution,
which we in this country view as fundamental to our existence.
The Poles face constant shortages of food and supplies. Prices
are outrageously high. Confronted with such conditions, the people
demonstrate in the streets, pleading for help.
Does their government listen? No, and it is made clear that if
things get too out of hand, the Russian army will roll its tanks
into Warsaw.
The recent release of political prisoners by the Jaruzelski government
was only done to defuse growing dissatisfaction and unrest. It
is all but transparent that the regime is simply posturing to
convince the U.S. to lift trade embargoes imposed in the wake
of the Solidarity crackdown in 1981.
Peace? Freedom?
The Soviet Union is the world's second largest prison (after China,
their political enemy but ideological brother). Along with their
totalitarian satellites, they enslave more people than any other
nation on earth in conditions as bad as or worse than those in
Poland. Private property
and enterprise are strictly controlled, if allowed at all. Citizens
are made to carry passports even within the Russian borders. No
internal movement of three days or more is permitted without government
approval and, worst of all, few are allowed to leave. The application
process for emigration is tedious and intimidating, and merely
applying can cost you your job, your social status, and your friends.
In addition, the government of the U.S.S.R., during the Bolshevik
Revolution and in the purges that followed has slaughtered over
32 million of its own citizens. According to British historian
Robert Conquest, this includes 5 million who died in the Soviet-inspired
famine of 1932 and 12 million murdered in Stalin's labor camps.
Why do the Soviets and their satellites have to build walls and
guard towers to keep their people from leaving if their country
is a worker's paradise? Why is it that East German soldiers shoot
their own countrymen who try to go to the West? All of this at
the same time that our immigration offices are jam-packed with
people who love America and want to make their home here—some
of whom are forced to wait as long as two years.
The fact is that there are immeasurable differences between the
government of the Soviet Union and our own. America has always
been a free nation. Soviet citizens cannot even imagine what
it would be like to be free. The financial pressures of our free
society challenge and disillusion some defectors initially, as
they are accustomed to having the necessities provided for them.
Likewise, few in this country really realize the dramatic difference
between our lifestyle and theirs. This cannot be overstated.
A recent film, Moscow On The Hudson, illustrates this point graphically.
Although depicted in comedy, it provides a serious insight into
the inadequacy of the Soviet system. Opening while the main character
is still within the Russian borders, the film follows him through
his defection and subsequent realization that the U.S. is quite
different than he was led to believe. Upon entering a supermarket
for the first time, he discovers that there is no line and collapses
with a nervous breakdown after seeing the abundance of coffee.
We are talking about defending a principle. Weapons do not create
wars. People create weapons because they fear attack from an enemy
which threatens them. In the words of Salvador de Madariaga, chairman
of the League of Nations Disarmament Commission, disarmament is
a "mirage" because it tackles the problem of war "upside
down and at the wrong end...Nations don't distrust each other
because they are armed; they are armed because they distrust each
other."
If it were the United States and Great Britain who were the superpowers
of the day, the question of disarmament would be quite simple.
Both nations share a common interest in true freedom and peace,
and both have a democratic, representative form of government.
With this common understanding, dialogue could quickly begin to
eliminate an excess of weapons. Eventually, the only necessity
for nuclear weapons would be to combat renegade nations and terrorists
who could otherwise use them for a reckless power grab.
The example of Great Britain may seem a bit absurd, but consider
what might have happened if they had possessed nuclear weapons
during the American Revolution or in 1812. I don't think anyone
would have argued that we should have disarmed. There was a clear
ideological conflict, which has since been resolved to the benefit
of all parties concerned. This resolution took two wars. It is
my hope, and the hope of all sensible people, that it should not
take two wars or even one to settle our ideological differences
with the Soviet Union. But if it does, we should be as willing
to fight for our principles today as we were 200 years ago. Otherwise,
the meaning of the lives of those who died for the American Revolution
will have been lost on today's world.
It is clear that what we must attempt to accomplish is the elimination
of the prospect of nuclear war—in conjunction with the preservation
of human rights throughout the world as well as our national sovereignty
and freedom. Thus, the answer is neither pacifism nor isolationism.
We cannot kid ourselves. The Russian leaders embrace nuclear war,
and their population has no choice in (or knowledge of) the matter.
They do not believe that ICBMs have changed the nature of fighting.
Hence, it is extremely naïve for Americans to act as if "everything
is different now"
and ignore the vital historical lesson that an aggressor will
not be appeased by concessions. He will only be encouraged to
further acts of aggression until he has reached his objective.
Let us take a trip into the past and study the lessons of both
ancient and recent history. Though the examples may seem obscure,
the basic issues are exactly those which confront us today:
HISTORICAL PACIFISM
416 b.c., Athens denies the neutrality of the island of Melos.
When the inhabitants offer to surrender and become subjects of
Greece, they are attacked and defeated. The men are slaughtered
and the women and children are sold as slaves.
149 b.c., Carthage, Third Punic War. Presiding over the Roman
senate is Porcius Cato, advocate of total destruction of the city
of Carthage. Carthage, once a rival, now an ally, is too prosperous
for the tastes of the Roman Empire. They fear and envy this city
of 750,000. It is therefore decreed that Carthage should be razed.
The Carthaginians disarm and try every peaceful means to avert
this tragedy, including unconditional surrender. The result? They
are sieged for three years.
146 b.c., following a valiant attempt at resistance, the city
of Carthage is burned to the ground and the fields sown with salt.
A mere 50,000 survive, only to be sold into slavery.
a.d. 1532, the Incan emperor Atahualpa is seized by Spanish explorer
Pizarro. He pays Pizarro handsomely in gold and silver to release
him. Instead, Pizarro has him strangled and makes off with the
gold.
At no time in history has there ever been a case where disarming
in the face of a threat has obviated the threat. Peace has been
maintained only by a policy of superiority over potential aggressors.
It is futile to allow any bellicose nation the benefit of the
doubt when they possess superior forces.
1922, the Naval Armaments Limitation Treaty is signed, limiting
the number of American, British, Japanese, French, and Italian
warships.
1928, the Kellogg-Briand Pact (also known as the Pact of Paris)
is signed by 15 nations, including the U.S., condemning "recourse
to war for the solution of international controversies."
Later, 47 other nations join in the pact.
Mocking our attempts to legislate peace, the Kellogg-Briand Pact
nations engaged in several small wars during the next decade.
In retrospect, former director of the Arms Control and Disarmament
Agency (ACDA) Eugene V. Rostow commented, "The post-World
War I arms limitation agreements . . . helped to bring on World
War II, by reinforcing the blind and willful optimism of the West,
thus inhibiting the possibility of military preparedness and diplomatic
actions through which Britain and France could have easily deterred
the war."
Furthermore, parallels can be drawn between the conducting of
those arms negotiations and present-day negotiations on nuclear
arms control. It seems that the more we attempt to come up with
intellectual answers to our military and strategic problems, the
more evident it is that we are ignoring the lessons of history
in pursuit of our idealism.
(It was rumored that conflicts were entered into by some of the
Kellogg-Briand nations because they knew that there was imminent
world war and they wished to test their weapons on the battlefield.)
1931, Japan attacks Manchuria.
1935, Italy invades Ethiopia.
1938, Germany annexes Austria.
1938, Czechoslovakia is divided at the Munich Conference by Édouard
Daladier and Neville
Chamberlain in a futile attempt to appease Hitler. Chamberlain
"did not believe that Germany wanted to destroy Czechoslovakia."
1939, Hitler occupies Czechoslovakia in direct defiance of the
Munich agreement and seizes the seaport of Memel from Lithuania.
In each and every case where peace has been sought without the
accompanying strong military resolve, war has been the result.
The victor has always been the wise nation which never let down
its guard. A nation with pacifist sentiments, whether generated
by fear or moralism, can never prevail.
1948, the Soviets initiate a land and water blockade of West Berlin
in an attempt to force the Allies to relinquish this hard-won
territory. Only the resolve and determination of the West in the
famous Berlin airlift keeps them from achieving their goal. More
than 2 million tons of supplies are flown in over a 16-month period.
1962, the Soviet Union attempts to place nuclear missiles in Cuba
and is forced to back down by President John F. Kennedy.
1967, the United States, under the direction of Secretary of Defense
Robert McNamara, unilaterally freezes its launchers for land-based
missiles at 1,054 and sub-launched missiles at 656.
1969-70, the Soviet Union reaches nuclear parity with the United
States.
It can be seen from the actions of the Soviets up to this point
that the achievement of nuclear parity was a big step. They will
begin to act with far more arrogance and overt aggression.
They continue to build both nuclear and conventional weapons at
a tremendous rate.
1973, the Soviet Union threatens to intervene in the war in the
Middle East. President Nixon and Henry Kissinger play verbal hardball
with Soviet negotiators. The Soviets again back down.
1979, the Soviet Union invades Afghanistan with no provocation.
Much speculation is possible as to why they invaded. It could
have been because they desired a corridor to the Persian Gulf
for shipping and/or military maneuvers. Perhaps they wanted to
test their new chemical weaponry against the helpless Afghan villagers.
Or it could have been plain old expansionism —one of their
most typical activities.
1981, pacifist sentiments worldwide gain sudden renewal and strength.
1982, the Soviet Union begins clandestinely shipping arms and
munitions to El Salvador via Cuba and Nicaragua. At the same time
they are furiously trying to battle the Afghan freedom fighters
in what has now become a messy confrontation. In the third week
of June, just one week following massive freeze demonstrations
in New York City, the Soviets stage a "dress rehearsal"
of a full-scale nuclear attack on the United States. This is accomplished
by firing their unarmed missiles into remote ocean areas simulating
the exact trajectories needed to destroy American cities. Little
notice or response is given to this act of aggressive intimidation.
1983, the peace movements gain ground on all fronts, especially
in Europe. Backed by Moscow's opposition to the imminent deployment,
massive demonstrations loudly object to the cruise and Pershing
II missiles. The Eastern Bloc missiles are conveniently ignored.
The Soviets continue their overt aggression in Afghanistan and
their covert arms shipments to Nicaragua (which by this time has
become a full-fledged Soviet satellite, exceeded in its sphere
of influence only by Cuba).
SEPTEMBER 1, 1983, a Soviet Sukhoi-15 fighter fires two missiles,
one heat seeking and one radar homing, at a Korean Air Lines 747
jumbo jet, killing all 269 men, women, and children aboard. The
United States offers little or no response to the incident even
though 61 of its citizens, including a congressman, were counted
among the dead.
SEPTEMBER 8, 1983, President Reagan declines to cancel a grain
deal in which the Soviets are sold 350,000 metric tons of U.S.
corn. Included in the deal are U.S. guarantees to allocate an
additional 9 million tons of corn and wheat annually for 5 years.
OCTOBER 1983, in response to a Cuban-backed takeover attempt on
the island of Grenada, the United States sends in its armed forces
for a surgical military operation to secure the island. The Soviet
Union loudly protests and Western European leaders (supposedly
our staunch allies) also grumble.
DECEMBER 1983, NATO goes ahead with deployment of cruise and Pershing
II missiles . . . Soviets walk out of Geneva and INF (Intermediate-range
Nuclear Forces, specifically those in Europe) talks.
APRIL 8, 1984, Soviet Air Force Colonel I. Zhukov, the pilot who
shot down KAL Flight 007 is given the "Hero of the Soviet
Union" award as part of the Soviet Air Defense Forces Day
celebration. Sources quoted in The Review of the News say "Zhukov
was not given the top medal for having shot down the civilian
airliner, but because he killed Congressman Larry McDonald, one
of the U.S.S.R.'s most effective enemies."
JUNE-JULY 1984, the Soviet Armed Forces conduct massive war maneuvers
in Europe and the North Sea.
PACIFISM AS AN INSTRUMENT OF FOREIGN POLICY
. . . If war is the continuation of politics by other means, then
it is also true that peace, that is, politics, is the continuation
of war by other means.( Marshal Boris M. Shaposhnikov, The Brain
of the Army, a 1927 military text)
The peace movements in the United States and Europe have basically
the same goal: that is, to freeze nuclear weapons and then begin
the process of disarmament. This, they hope, will then eliminate
the danger of nuclear conflict.
While many among their membership are sincere, the manner in which
the several peace movements have conducted their demonstrations
and information campaigns has been universally beneficial to the
continuation of Soviet policy. The Soviets consider it vital to
be able to forestall or reverse the deployment of new NATO weapons
systems in Europe. "The single highest priority of Soviet
foreign policy" in the months preceding deployment, said
Time magazine, was "to stop most if not all of the new American
weapons from crossing the Atlantic." With deployment proceeding
on schedule, the Soviets will still try to pressure us in the
coming months into halving our deployment or withdrawing our missiles.
Let us indulge momentarily in the fantasy that the Russian negotiators
are sincere in their desire for peace. Let us assume that for
all of their bluster and statements to the contrary, they never
plan to use their nuclear weapons. The fact remains that they
are being benefitted immensely by the peace movement.
Our cruise and Pershing II missiles are a great threat to them
strategically. They can reach many parts of densely populated
western Russia in less than 10 minutes. Yet the very citizens
who are protected by them are their most vocal detractors. Do
you ever hear protests over deployment of new Soviet weaponry?
Did the peace movements cry foul when they heard of the "dress
rehearsal" conducted by the Soviets in June 1982? Not a chance.
Yet one wonders why citizens of the United States and Western
Europe, sincere in their desire for peace, clamor over every new
tank, missile or plane that is deployed in their own defense.
It has been said that a democracy is at a disadvantage when it
comes to fighting a war. A totalitarian state such as the U.S.S.R.
does not have to get permission from its citizens to build armaments.
Save for a government-sponsored and controlled propaganda machine—which
arranges for demonstrations protesting American weapons to be
photographed by Western reporters and invents slogans such as
"Make peace against U.S. weapons"—there is no
independent peace movement within its borders. The Kremlin simply
plans and implements policy to suit its ends.
Citizens in Russia can have no conceivable influence on military
policy outcome. In Moscow, a peace coalition called the Group
for Establishing Trust Between the U.S.S.R. and the U.S.A. has
been continually harassed since its inception in June 1982. In
March of this year, member Olga Medvedkova was tried and given
a suspended 24-year sentence for 'resisting arrest' outside of
the courthouse where a fellow member was being tried last fall
(in spite of the fact that three witnesses testified that she
cooperated with police). Medvedkova, 34, has an eight-year-old
son and was five months pregnant. This was cited as the only reason
she was not required to serve out her sentence in full.
It is clear that the Russians are very sensitive to this type
of incident—an ABC news crew was detained at the scene and
prevented from filming the arrival at court. On the other hand,
the Western political systems allow for the constant demonstrations
and even congressional veto of military spending if our people
do not want it.
Considering this inherent weakness of democracies and seeing the
tremendous power over Western public opinion that the peace movements
can exercise, it is common sense that the Soviet leadership would
try to exploit it. The best way to manipulate public opinion is
to increase the level of fear in the Western populace. What better
way to create fear than to walk out of the negotiations in Geneva?
These talks had been seen by many as the only hope for peaceful
dialogue between the superpowers. Now that this has been cut off,
there are those who suggest that we should offer anything to get
them to come back to the table.
What a ploy! This is just what the Soviets want. By succumbing
to fear, we would play right into their hands. In fact, the exploitation
of the fear stirred up by the peace movements, if successful,
would give the Soviets strategic advantages that they could not
hope to gain at the bargaining table.
So why bargain? What difference does it make whether we halt deployment
of missiles in Western Europe because of peace demonstrations
or because of a direct Soviet threat? It is better for the Soviet
image if it appears to the world that we have been undermined
by the populations of our own allies than if they are forced to
threaten us.
The Democratic primaries were fraught with promises and calls
for disarmament. Although ostensibly for economic reasons, the
level of disarmament advocated by Walter Mondale, Gary Hart, and
Jesse Jackson would leave us totally vulnerable. All three planned
to kill both the B-1 bomber and the MX missile—vital systems
which have already survived a previous round of Democratic slashing
in 1977. Geraldine Ferraro has promised to not only kill these
systems, but to back a complete nuclear freeze. Gary Hart would
have eliminated supercarriers, supersubmarines, and heavy tanks,
according to U.S. News & World Report. One wonders why the
Soviet press has praised Gary Hart as "the best thing to
happen to American politics since President Kennedy."
SOVIET ACTIVE MEASURES
Propaganda is the name of the Soviet game. A Communist Party department
and an entire KGB directorate exist solely to spread "disinformation"
throughout the free world. Disinformation is the deliberate twisting
of facts for public consumption. It is an old trick as far as
the Soviets are concerned. They have been using it for years within
their own borders. Such publications as Pravda (Russian for "truth")
and Isvestia (meaning "news") are the prime instruments
of the manipulation of the Soviet population. They are told what
the government wants them to hear. Thus, they are given a slanted
and heavily censored vision of world events. Some Russian citizens
quip wryly that there is "no truth in the News" and
"no news in the Truth."
Pravda's 'journalism' is a standing joke. Consider the fact that
the publication never admitted that 269 civilians were killed
or even that civilians were aboard Flight 007. Western journalists
asked Soviet Chief of the General Staff Nikolai Ogarkov why the
Russian populace had not been given the details of the incident.
He replied that he did not know that 269 civilians were aboard
the plane and that if one wanted to know who was aboard the plane,
"this is a piece of information known to those who staged
the flight. Let them figure it out on their own."
More interestingly, the population is also kept in the dark about
Soviet deployments while being given constantly exaggerated accounts
of American activity. State-controlled media daily bombard the
populace with ominous predictions of Western aggression.
According to Nicholas Daniloff, Moscow bureau chief of U.S. News
& World Report, most Soviet citizens and even ranking officials
have little doubt that the White House, not the Kremlin, is the
villain in superpower tensions. In fact, one of Daniloff's Russian
acquaintances, a prominent nuclear engineer in charge of constructing
a major facility, was completely unaware of the Soviet military
buildup in general and knew nothing at all of the SS-20!
Thus it can be seen that the Soviet Union has a very efficient
way of lying to its own people and keeping them in the dark. This
is fairly easy, as there is no direct source of internal information
save that which is controlled by the government. Externally, it
is much more difficult for them to control information. Because
it is so difficult, they try all the harder.
Boris Ponomarev is the head of the International Department, a
bureau under the direction of the CPSU's (Communist Party of the
Soviet Union) Politburo and Secretariat. Soviet "active measures"
are implemented by the International Department in conjunction
with the KGB (Committee for State Security) and the International
Information Department. Together these departments are in charge
of external disinformation—in other words, the dissemination
of the Soviet point of view worldwide.
Dr. Wynfred Joshua, member of the Defense Intelligence Agency
and adjunct professor of national security studies at Georgetown
University, sees the Soviet active-measures campaign this way:
"Based on deception, they include the use of agents of influence,
local communist parties and local and international communist
front organizations; the spreading of disinformation, false letters
and forgeries; the manipulation of the media; and the funding
of anti-INF [Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces] and anti-NATO
efforts."
It is apparent that they consider this function
extremely important. Policy decisions regarding active measures
are approved and formulated by the Defense Council, a top-secret
and highly powerful committee once chaired by none other than
Yuri Andropov. He was succeeded by current chairman, Konstantin
Chernenko.
Much of Soviet policy and disinformation spread by the International
Department is channeled through various front organizations. Among
the most prominent is the World Peace Council. Founded as the
WPC in 1950, it was expelled from Paris in 1951 and outlawed in
Austria in 1957, only to reemerge in Helsinki in 1968. Under the
direction of current president Romesh Chandra, an Indian Communist
who, according to author John Barron, "long has been a controlled
and witting Soviet agent," the WPC is entirely funded and
controlled by Moscow.
According to CIA hearings conducted before the 96th Congress on
February 6 and 19, 1980,
the Soviets spend about $63 million per year financing the World
Peace Council and several related movements. What a bargain! This
is less money than it costs them to build one missile. If they
can prevent deployment of NATO weaponry through political means,
they will not be forced to endure another far costlier round of
the arms race. More importantly, it psychologically furthers their
self-proclaimed goals of world domination and control.
Soviet control is not limited to the various front organizations.
Their goal is to orchestrate the activities of the peace movements
worldwide. They do not care what the ideological or political
views of a particular group are, as long as in the pursuit of
their individual goals they benefit the collective cause of Soviet
world "peace."
Lenin, the great manipulator, foresaw the drafting of millions
of peace lovers, those he termed the 'useful idiots', into the
service of the Soviet empire. Therefore, in following organizations
in which they sincerely believe, millions of honorable, patriotic,
anti-Communist and peace-loving people are unwittingly furthering
the cause of Soviet world domination.
These tactics are called "united front tactics." This,
in the words of Dr. Joshua, "is to rally to the anti-INF
banner a vast variety of religious groups, anti-nuclear movements,
leftist factions, pacifists, environmentalists, draft resisters
and other single-interest groups."
The Soviets value in particular groups with religious affiliation.
J.A.E. Vermaat, a Dutch journalist who has written extensively
about the European peace movement, states that a priority in KGB
strategy has been the exploitation of religious movements and
their ready-made following to spread their propaganda. Special
indoctrination centers and groups are formed, ostensibly with
no ties to Moscow, to tie the desire for peace in with the existing
goals of the church.
Thus, they play upon one of man's strongest instincts—that
longing for a Deity to worship, that sense of right and wrong.
It is outrageous that the Soviet Union, which is the single worst
perpetrator of falsehood, injustice, aggression, death and atheism,
should play upon the Judaeo-Christian ethics of the Western people
as a justification for accepting 'peace' on their terms.
We have discussed the horrors of a nuclear holocaust and resolved
that we should do all in our power to prevent one. It is only
human to fear this eventuality. The key word here is fear. When
a large portion of the world's population is living in fear of
global annihilation, it needs to be offered a way out. Generations
have grown up with this threat, and it has been largely internalized.
Until recently, it was just one more unmeasurable item that seethed
below the surface of the conscious mind, increasing overall tension
and anxiety as we went about the business of living. When presented
with an opportunity to lay this tension aside permanently, the
people of the free world were elated. Freeze nuclear weapons.
Disarm. Rid ourselves of this terrible madness.
Use our hard-earned dollars for feeding the poor, not for more
expensive and dangerous nuclear weapons.
Unfortunately, it is not so simple. To attempt to lay aside the
anxiety about nuclear war without getting to the cause of the
problem is like cutting a weed without pulling its root. It will
always grow back, usually bigger and stronger than before. As
history has shown, disarming in the face of an aggressor not only
leads to domination by the aggressor but usually annihilation.
The Soviets have as their stated goal the domination of the world.
Since they consider any war which leads to the furtherance of
that goal to be just, we have every reason to suspect that they
will not deviate from this philosophy. They will pursue every
avenue to the obliteration of every obstacle to their goal. When
they believe their position to be sufficiently secure, they will
make their move.
Will they attack us with nuclear weapons? Will they "annex"
the United States as Hitler annexed Austria? Will they intimidate
us with their military might so as to make our future presidents
puppets of their foreign policy aims? I, for one, hope we never
have to find out. One thing is sure. If the West continues to
wear its blinders and pretend that everything is OK, the Kremlin
will continue in its barbaric but all-too-familiar tradition of
killing innocent citizens of the nations of the world, not the
least of which being their own.
THE PSYCHOLOGY OF PACIFISM
The superpower conflict is emerging more and more as a battle
for the minds of the Western populace. Salvos of rhetoric have
been fired from both governments. What is different from the days
of the Cold War? Today, public opinion is far more likely to drift
with the tide of propaganda. Once, not so many years ago, there
were beliefs and principles, firmly held, that ruled public thought
in the Atlantic Alliance. Increasingly, free men and women are
more skeptical of their own governments than of the totalitarian
council of the Kremlin. Indeed, the actions of the peace movements
in both the United States and Western Europe can be tied to this
skepticism.
In the face of a perceived threat, why this ambivalence? Why this
skepticism? It would stand to reason that the common instincts
of self-preservation would cause a rally around the strongest
point of defense—in our society,
the government. The failure of our people to rally as well as
Western Europe's lack of resolve can be explained in terms of
a psychological paradigm—that
of a very young child versus a psychotic mother. The archetypal
child represents the collective Western peace movements while
the Soviets are the domineering mother.
Dr. Ralph Yaney, a Los Angeles psychoanalyst who has studied the
nuclear arms debate, elaborates further: "Western Europe,
according to these dynamics, is like the little child caught in
the middle of the parents, i.e., the U.S.A. and the U.S.S.R. For
various reasons those who join peace movements feel they have
to do something to defend themselves against their sense of helplessness.
So their inner anger, which they have taken on as their own from
the Soviet Union by the process referred to as 'identification
with the aggressor', is projected upon weaker targets
—namely their own governments, which are essentially
their collective identity—or
against the U.S.A., who is viewed as the father figure.
The governments are perceived as siblings; and
the U.S., as the father, threatens, by deploying missiles on European
soil, their symbiotic relationship with the Soviet Union (the
psychotic dangerous mother)."
In his book The Great Mother, Erich Neumann, a German psychologist,
author, and student of Carl Jung, has labeled the mother role
in this type of conflict the "devouring mother." According
to Dr. Yaney, the Devouring Mother is an ancient archetype, characterized
as cannibalistic toward her children. Although she provides for
their material needs, she has a great deal of anger and swallows
up their identity in the process. She has no feeling in even destroying
her own if this be her fickle whim.
In the face of such unequal psychological odds, appeasement is
the only answer. To stand up for principles is to be swallowed
up. "The child is operating on the security level. He must
protect his sense of mother as good in order to protect himself
and his identity. He has only one mother,
and she must at all costs be seen as good.
The childlike, uncontrolled demonstrations—i.e.,
the painting of faces, the continual live-in demonstrations in
England—are due to the helpless
quality of the symbiotic child. In the state of nuclear fear,
the child acts out his anxiety on a target not so formidable—the
governments of Western Europe or the U.S. This is termed a reaction
formation. The ego is threatened by this emotional overload. So
instead of confronting the adversary directly, it attacks even
the friendly parent in an equal and opposite reaction," affirms
Yaney.
Mixed in with the reaction formation are a sprinkling of other
defensive motives. Denial, projection, submission, to name a few.
The main result has been a refusal to confront the knowledge of
the real danger present in the Kremlin and the atrocities committed
by Soviet leadership since Day One of their revolution.
Continues Dr. Yaney, "Due to their denial system, the nuclear
activists cannot believe the inhumanity of the Soviet system,
especially their gulags. Despite Solzhenitsyn's three books on
the subject,( Alexander Solzhenitsyn, born in 1918, was exiled
from the Soviet Union in 1974 for his beliefs and writings. Having
spent time in concentration camps, he merely chronicled his experiences.
For his works he received the Nobel Prize in 1970) and fairly
extensive media exposure of the Soviet prison system, the activists
cannot accept the concept of a bad mother. If they did, they would
be forced to change.
Consequently, this information is suppressed
and repressed. The easiest thing for the mass consciousness is
to rebel in order to defend itself against the rising collective
sense of nihilistic helplessness. This is done through various
forms of escapism, including protest marches—all
an act to look good to the big mother."
Many insist that the United States is at least as guilty as the
Soviets, pointing to right-wing dictatorships we support. The
reality is that while the United States is not perfect, we are
simply not in the same league of human rights violators as the
Soviets and communists worldwide who have murdered millions. Even
so, we are making an effort to curb abuses present in our sphere
of influence. Note the recent trial of five former Salvadoran
national guardsmen responsible for the December 1980 deaths of
four American churchwomen. This trial was insisted upon by our
government as a precondition for further military aid.
We would all like to see an end to the terror and political violence
that has marred El Salvador since 1971. Yet the solutions to human
hatred deeply imbedded in the psyche are not a matter
of right or left. The problem is far more complex than the apparent
East/West conflict. Many of our client states who appear to be
taking repressive measures are functioning in a state of pre-war
crisis as they deal with subversive groups funded by the Soviet
Union, whose objective is complete takeover through the destruction
of the existing order—the "evil capitalist system."
At least the people of Central America are willing
to identify the enemy, both within and without, and to make an
attempt to slash the tentacles of the Devouring Mother. As a result,
these rightist regimes are perceived as brutal dictatorships by
the pacifists who—still unable to see the cause of the conflict
originating in the murderous intent of the U.S.S.R. to destroy
nation upon nation —displace, or pr oject onto them, the
image of the Devouring Mother resident in their own subconscious.
The Organization of Eastern Caribbean States asked the U.S. to
intervene in Grenada. In addition, hundreds of American students
lived there. The neighboring Caribbean nations of El Salvador
and Nicaragua are less than a thousand miles from southern Texas.
Can we afford not to act? The Philippines hold major U.S. military
bases as does Turkey. There are many such countries where vital
security interests force us to back corrupt governments. If we
are to confront the world Soviet threat, we must sometimes value
expediency over blind insistence on immediate universal civil
liberty.
Our world is not an ideal one. When there is no longer a Soviet
threat, then we can go about the business of encouraging the formation
of representative governments where dictatorships rule today.
Until then, we must defend our Third World interests.
To Americans, the Soviet threat is not real. While sheer proximity
frightens Europeans, many Americans have to be convinced that
the Soviet Union is aggressive. Reasons cited for Russian military
activity range from "fear of encirclement" (Really!
Encirclement in Central America?) to response to American 'aggression'.
Dr. Yaney comments, "The childlike American mind doesn't
believe the Devouring Mother is real. The Americans in the peace
movement believe that all we need to do is lay down our arms and
she won't do anything." As a consequence of the scars left
by the Vietnam War, the American pacifist distrusts both parents.
"Lingering memories of the no-win war add to the sense of
helplessness and hopelessness. The rationale is that 'she (the
U.S.S.R.) has swallowed up her children in Vietnam and in Central
America, and if we aren't good children, if we don't behave ourselves,
if we stand up and confront her and refuse to disarm, she'll destroy
us, too.'"
The constant media barrage questioning and condemning U.S. foreign
policy further contributes to the defensive denial of Soviet aggression.
The image of the Devouring Mother is also projected onto the persona
of the president who, in his anti-Communist rhetoric, is seen
as
the cause of nuclear danger because he is angering the Devouring
Mother. Thus the pacifists, already tending to suppress damning
information about the Soviet Union, have further reason to pursue
their national introspection and ignore the aggressor without.
"Consequently," adds Dr. Yaney, "when confronted
with the fact that the Soviets have murdered millions of their
own citizens or that they have subjugated the people of Afghanistan
and put down Solidarity in Poland, pacifists tend to maintain
a superficial stance and avoid making an in-depth study or comparison.
To do so would require that they give up their role as children
and accept adult responsibility. Instead, they deny or rationalize
the historical facts (even revising history to satisfy their psychology)
and then angrily retort that the U.S. doesn't have clean hands
either. 'You've mined the harbors of Nicaragua,' they accuse."
The real key in this shaping of our perception was that while
the Soviets were busy attaining superiority during the 1970s,
we thought there was détente. Now when we are forced to
play catch-up, they walk away from the table and we appear to
be the aggressors. This is nothing but a variation on the old
sleight-of-hand routine. "Look, over here, comrade!"
and the missiles continue to roll off the assembly line.
SIX FATAL FLAWS IN THE NUCLEAR FREEZE
A popular solution to the problem of nuclear war has been to negotiate
a bilateral freeze with the Soviets on the development, testing,
and deployment of nuclear weapons and delivery systems. The sincerity
of Soviet leadership can be strongly questioned in light of the
active-measures program, with their lying and political jockeying
over the Korean airliner incident, and even further with their
walkout from the Geneva and INF talks. Even the most die-hard
apologists ought to see them for what they are.
It seems to me that for a nation to clamor
for peace while building up its own war machine, rewarding trigger-happy
pilots and refusing to negotiate, is at least a conflict of interest
if not downright hypocritical. Not to mention trying to undermine
the defense efforts of its adversary with propaganda and disinformation.
For those who still remain unconvinced, let me analyze the proposed
freeze from a purely strategic viewpoint. Assuming Moscow is sincere
about wanting parity and therefore peace, let us examine the structure
of the arguments of those in favor of the freeze.
Argument #1: Nuclear Deterrence Is Immoral.
From time to time, various Catholic bishops and bishops from other
religious denominations have come out against the philosophy of
nuclear deterrence on strictly moral grounds. They believe that
for the United States to threaten to use or to even possess nuclear
weapons is wrong.
John Cardinal Krol, official spokesman for the U.S. Catholic Conference
in 1979, put it this way:
The moral judgement of this statement is that not only the use
of strategic nuclear weapons, but also the declared intent to
use them involved in our deterrence policy is wrong. This explains
the Catholic dissatisfaction with nuclear deterrence and the urgency
of the Catholic demand that the nuclear arms race be reversed.
How 'morally right' would it be to allow oneself or one's congregation
to be annihilated by a nuclear blast?
The United Presbyterian church has taken a vote and is overwhelmingly
'against' nuclear weapons. Well, nuclear weapons exist and, whether
the congregation of the United Presbyterian church likes it or
not, there are several thousand of them pointed in our direction.
I wonder if the Russian government, with its philosophy of "just
wars," would consult the United Presbyterian church for their
opinion on nuclear arms if they were about to launch a nuclear
attack.(These 6 assumptions are based on an article published
in the Backgrounder by The Heritage Foundation on November 3,
1982 entitled "The Hard Facts the Nuclear Freeze Ignores.")
Perhaps the worst naïveté of all is that of those
who believe that if we disarm, the Soviets will follow suit. It
has never happened in history and the Soviets are positively the
most unlikely to set a new historical precedent.
Not all of the clergy are this foolish. The late Terence Cardinal
Cooke, former military vicar for the Catholic church in America,
wrote in a letter to Catholic chaplains on December 7, 1981:
The Church has traditionally taught and continues to teach that
a government has both the right and the duty to protect its people
against unjust aggression. This means that it is legitimate to
develop and maintain weapons systems to try to prevent war by
"deterring" another nation from attacking . . . The
Church does not require, nor have the Popes of the nuclear age
or the Second Vatican Council recommended, unilateral disarmament.
This is a far more realistic attitude. Deterrence relies upon
the construction of equal numbers of equivalent weapons. As it
stands, we are behind both in numbers and in types of systems.
In the days of MAD (the now-dated theory of Mutual Assured Destruction),
American strategic doctrine was based upon the capability of both
sides to "destroy an aggressor as a viable society even after
a well-planned and executed surprise attack" on their strategic
forces.
It is now recognized that the targeting of military installations
changes all this. It would be possible for one side to launch
debilitating nuclear strikes against the other's land-based missiles
and air bases. The other side would be in a position to choose
between capitulation and the destruction of its still-intact cities.
We will see that a freeze would lock the United States into a
clear position of inferiority. We are currently inferior and a
freeze would prevent deployment of the MX and other systems under
development. This is hardly the protection of the people from
unjust aggression. If we allow the Soviets to maintain a position
of superiority, it would and has encouraged them to take more
risks on the international scene. This has tremendously increased
the danger of war. If the current trend continues, they will be
able to exact from us any concession they please. And we will
have started down a long and fruitless road of appeasement.
Argument #2: A Nuclear Arms Race Endangers World Survival
Many advocates of the freeze, not the least of whom are Sen. Edward
M. Kennedy (D-Mass.) and Sen. Mark O. Hatfield (R-Ore.), coauthors
of the bipartisan nuclear freeze resolution, imply that by agreeing
to a nuclear freeze today, we will eliminate the possibility of
nuclear war for all future generations. Indeed, if we froze, there
would no longer be a need for nuclear war. The Kremlin would wait
until it had enough of an advantage to simply inform our government
what it would like us to do. If this is what Kennedy and Hatfield
want, I ask them what type of nation they think their grandchildren
will inherit?
With mankind's obvious and ongoing propensity to war, this approach
is far too simplistic. There is a terrible urgency to the pleas
of the freeze proponents. Soviet political and ideological motives
are completely discounted. It is as if we had just recently been
faced with the possibility of mutual annihilation for the first
time. Or as if some new weapons system had just been created that
made nuclear war a great deal more likely. Neither has happened.
We have lived with nuclear weapons for 40 years, and the only
factor that has escalated of late is the hysteria.
Many groups have come out with slogans proclaiming that we should
"end the arms race." While many refer to the military
buildup on both sides as an 'arms race', this term is far from
accurate. If it ever had any relevance, it was before the U.S.
unilaterally froze its nuclear missile launchers in 1967. Since
1971, the Soviet Union has deployed 19 new or upgraded strategic
missile systems. In the same time period, the United States has
deployed just 3.
It would seem that if the Soviets were in any way serious about
arms control, they would have seen our attempts to show good faith
and ceased weapons production in the early 1970s when they reached
parity with the United States. The reverse happened. Soviet weapons
production reached an all time high in the middle to late 1970s
as they determined to clinch their lead.
The Russians began misbehaving even more extensively throughout
the world once they had a clear strategic advantage. In a most
infamous episode of their deplorable 'foreign policy', they sent
269 to a fiery death over the Sea of Japan. Would they have been
as apt to commit such an atrocity if they had been strategically
inferior? Who knows? History shows that they were much better
neighbors when they were in a weaker military position. (If they
weren't, we were at least able to intimidate them into behaving
themselves.)
Technological advances in nuclear weapons systems do not bring
us closer to war or make it more likely, but rather help to safeguard
against any accidental launch. In addition, as the accuracy of
missiles increases, their yields decrease (at least on the American
side). Thirty-two of the 52 most powerful Titan missiles with
warheads of 9 megatons each have been deactivated at the rate
of one per week since the end of 1983. This deactivation is proceeding
even though their replacements will not be ready for at least
two years.
The most powerful remaining American missile is the Minuteman
II with a warhead yielding 1.2 megatons. In contrast, the less
accurate Soviet missiles have warheads ranging from 3.6 to 24
he most powerful remaining American missile is the Minuteman II
with a warhead yielding 1.2 megatons. In contrast, the less accurate
Soviet missiles have warheads ranging from 3.6 to 24 megatons.
With this reduction on our side, and until (or if) the MX is deployed,
the United States is at its lowest level of armament since 1967.
Argument #3: Overkill
The term "overkill" is an emotional label that the freeze
proponents have applied to the nuclear [im]balance of the superpowers.
It deals strictly in numerical terms with a situation that must
be considered in the light of qualitative, geopolitical, as well
as quantitative strategic circumstances.
What has been done is that the job of huge numbers of military
planners and endless studies and computer models has been simplified
into a numbers game. A common argument is that "both sides
have enough weapons to destroy each other 10 (or 100) times over,
so what difference does it all make?"
The arsenal of the United States must be powerful enough to deter
the Soviet Union from attacking. Likewise, if deterrence should
fail, we must retain sufficient firepower to knock out Soviet
military targets before they can cause further damage. This must
be in the form of land-based missiles, as the sub-launched versions
are neither powerful nor accurate enough to destroy their hardened
military targets. (Hardening is the process of reinforcing a structure
with concrete and steel so that it can withstand a nuclear near
miss.) It is far more than a question of destroying cities.
The United States has adopted a second-strike strategic doctrine.*
This has been the case for over 20 years. It means that we will
not launch our missiles and bombers until we have sustained a
first strike. Thus, we could expect that most of our ICBMs, half
of our ballistic missile submarines, and almost all of our bombers
would be destroyed before they could be used. This "margin
of debilitation" only increases as the Soviets continue their
buildup. There may come a day when the Soviet Union is capable
of knocking out our entire strategic nuclear capability without
destroying more than the minimum of our population centers. This
is a day to be feared.
We can see that overkill is far from reality. If it were merely
a question of destroying cities, and both sides' arsenals were
immune to attack, then and only then would overkill be more than
a myth.
Argument #4: A Rough Balance in Strategic Weapons Exists
This is simply a presentation of numbers. There are no politics
involved.
FACT: The Soviets have an advantage in strategic missile launchers
of 1.63 to 1.
FACT: The missile throwweight capability of the Soviet Union (the
combined weight carried by all of their strategic missiles) exceeds
ours by a margin of 3.68 to 1.
FACT: The only area in which we lead is in numbers of strategic
warheads. The reason for this
is that most of our warheads are smaller than theirs, so they
need less to destroy our hardened military targets. Our slight
advantage is 1.2 to 1.
FACT: More than compensating for our lead in nuclear warheads
is the Soviet advantage of 4 to 1 in megatonnage. They possess
8,440 megatons and the United States has only 2,107. (A megaton
is roughly equivalent to 67 Hiroshima-sized warheads.)
Even if one were to rationalize these Soviet advantages into 'rough
parity' as the proponents of a nuclear freeze are prone to do,
this still does not take into account conventional weapons.
Conventional weapons are especially important on the European
scene. The Soviet Union has a geographical advantage over the
U.S. in Western Europe. It is this, coupled with the tremendous
cost of maintaining conventional forces there, that has caused
NATO to rely on a nuclear defense. Conventional weapons are several
orders of magnitude more expensive than their nuclear counterparts—not
to mention the impracticality of maintaining them a hemisphere
away. Negotiating a freeze would force NATO to spend incredible
amounts of money and draft millions of men to catch up with the
at least 2-to-1 advantage the Soviets hold in machinery and manpower.
Contrary to popular opinion, the deployment of cruise and Pershing
II missiles in Western Europe is not for the purpose of attacking
Soviet cities. The missiles, with their 1,000-mile range, have
the capability to be used in this fashion, but it would be a futile
and suicidal gesture on the part of NATO. Attacking a Soviet city
would bring certain retaliation against the American military
and cities. If we were to use the Pershings as battlefield nuclear
weapons to attack Soviet conventional forces or command and control
centers, the conflict would be far less likely to escalate into
an all-out war. Thus, the NATO nuclear weapons in Europe are a
credible deterrent to Soviet conventional forces.
Argument #5: A Freeze Would Be Verifiable
Verifying compliance with a nuclear arms treaty would be impossible
even with on-site inspection. Of course, the Soviets have never
allowed on-site inspection, because it would undoubtedly turn
up many violations of the existing treaties. They will never allow
on-site inspection because they wish to preserve their option
to cheat. Basing any future treaty on satellite verification is
folly. No one can tell whether or not there is a missile inside
of a light-manufacturing building, if a missile contains 10 or
30 warheads, or if a silo contains 1 or 10 missiles.
Furthermore, committees which have been set up in the past for
the purpose of verification have been a farce. These committees,
such as the Standing Consultative Commission appointed to adjudicate
problems of noncompliance with SALT I, have equal numbers of members
from both sides and quickly reach a stalemate. Each time a representative
of the United States has voiced a complaint to the commission
about a Soviet violation, it has been denied by the Soviet representative.
Again, we are faced with a country which we implicitly distrust.
The Soviet Union is not, has never been, and never will be trustworthy
among nations under its present leadership. It has not kept the
trust of its own citizens, so what makes us think it will treat
the United States, its avowed ideological adversary, differently?
In any event, whether we trust them or not, it is folly to trust
that a gun is unloaded and fire it at oneself, even when a friend
hands one the gun. Nuclear missiles are larger than guns, and
the Soviets are not our friends.
Argument #6: A Freeze Will Facilitate Nuclear Arms Reductions
Freeze proponents love to bandy about the ever-worshiped Nuclear
Freeze as a much-needed first step toward the banishment of nuclear
weapons from the planet. Soviet advantages in almost every category
range from 2-to-1 to 4-to-1 and more. If you assume 'rough parity',
then you have bought yourself an argument.
Rough parity is just not a reality. The Soviets have real, tangible,
countable advantages. The only arms-control agreements that have
meant anything in the past 25 years have been those that the Soviets
signed to forestall a superior United States deployment. In 1972,
the now-famous ABM (anti-ballistic missile) Treaty was signed
only because we had a superior system on the way to being built.
The now discontinued INF talks were only conducted following our
firm 1979 commitment to deploy the Pershing II and cruise missiles
in response to the Soviet deployment of the SS-20.
Prior to the SS-20, we had none of the new-generation missiles
in Europe. The Soviets were the first to place them there. President
Reagan's zero option* was realistic. He was just trying to roll
back the clock by a few years. (Coincidentally, he would have
fulfilled the professed goal of the freeze movement.)
This very unwillingness to accept removal of the SS-4s, SS-5s
and SS-20s (which were indeed the opening shot in the current
Western European buildup) shows us that if we did freeze, we could
expect more of the same. As mentioned in the study of historical
pacifism, during the 1960s the U.S. unilaterally, and I say this
with emphasis, froze its missile launchers at 1,054 land-based
and 656 sub-launched under the assumption that we had more than
enough for a credible deterrence.
Further, it was assumed by the then Secretary
of Defense Robert McNamara and others that when the Soviets reached
our level of armament, they would be content to live under MAD,
stop making bombs, and the world would live happily ever after.
Given the historical record and the current Soviet buildup after
we unilaterally froze, it seems all but ludicrous that people
are still clamoring, "Stop the arms race!" It does take
two to run a race...or am I just being old-fashioned?
IN PURSUIT OF THE FIRST-STRIKE OPTION
The question we must ask ourselves is this: Why is the Soviet
Union continuing to build new missiles at a rate of three per
week? It already has, and has had for some years, the capability
to target at least two warheads on each of our silos and still
destroy all of our major cities. The only plausible reason for
this incredible buildup is that they wish to pursue a first-strike
option. In both of the previous world wars, the winning strategy
has been to defeat the enemy's war-making ability. If the missiles
can be destroyed before they are used, the submarines sunk, the
bombers eliminated on the runway, there is no longer a credible
deterrence. The population is then a hostage.
In Arthur Katz' Life After Nuclear War the scenario of a counterforce
attack is examined. A counterforce attack is an attack directed
specifically at the war-making capability of a nation. Katz looks
at all aspects of the impact of such an attack. Not only would
silos and air bases be targeted, but certain key industrial production
centers would be affected. There is no way of being completely
surgical in such an operation. Estimates of civilian casualties
range from 2 to 22 million and, according to Katz, the effects
of even such a limited attack would be devastating.
Looking at the worst-case scenario for a counterforce attack by
the Soviets, our nation, although plunged into an economic, psychological,
and radioactive nightmare, would survive. With all of our land-based
nuclear weapons and hence our ability to destroy Soviet military
targets gone, the Soviets would still retain over half of their
land-based missile force (2,660 land-based warheads). With our
sub-launched missiles capable of destroying only their cities,
would our nation, numb and weak with fear, choose to retaliate,
dooming our remaining population centers? In such a situation,
it is far more probable that we would beg for mercy and agree
to whatever the Soviets wanted.
The United States could also launch such a counterforce attack,
but the Soviet land-based missile silos are hardened to a much
greater degree than American silos. Additionally, there are 10,000
SAM (surface-to-air missile) launchers at 900 defensive sites
in the U.S.S.R. ostensibly for defense against bombers. What one
is not told is that at least a portion of these have been successfully
tested in an ABM mode. Is this not a clear violation of the 1972
treaty? Officials of the Reagan administration have reported to
Congress that by 1987 the Soviet SAM network will be capable of
destroying 20 percent of the entire incoming U.S. missile force.
Why is it that no one ever brings up this "limited nuclear
war" scenario? Why is it laughed at by the freeze proponents?
The fact is that the concept of limited nuclear war has overshadowed
and replaced MAD in United States strategic doctrine since 1974
when U.S. Secretary of Defense James Schlesinger made the formal
acknowledgement at that time. Yet today it is thought of by the
peace movement and the media as irrelevant and it is almost never
brought up in any debate or forum.
Looking at the current Reagan 'military buildup', what is being
attempted is to obviate the Soviet first-strike option. If we
can protect our land-based missile force by hardening our silos
or deploying an ABM system (one system is allowed under the provisions
of the 1972 treaty; the Soviets have one, we do not), we will
eliminate the possibility of a counterforce attack. The Soviets
will not take the chance of launching such an attack if they have
more to lose than to gain.
On June 10, 1984, the U.S. conducted a successful test of a new
anti-ballistic missile. One hundred miles in space, the interceptor
knocked a Minuteman warhead out of the sky. It was the fourth
in a series of previously unsuccessful tests conducted since February
1983. Not surprisingly, the story was picked up by all three major
weekly news magazines. The difference in their reporting of the
test shows how controversial the subject really is. All three
expressed ambivalence, Newsweek downright skepticism (Headline:
"A Shield—Or a Sieve?").
With the knowledge that the Soviets have deployed an ABM system,
how can intelligent people maintain that we should not do the
same? At least Washington should have one, or maybe just one over
a major missile field. The question is this: If it makes our country
safer, or even one city safer, why not deploy it with haste? If
an ABM is successful in knocking down a warhead, then many ABMs
will be successful in knocking down many warheads. It is cheaper
for us to build ABMs than for the Russians to build missiles and
vice versa. If both countries had comprehensive ABM systems, both
would see that it would be pointless to continue building offensive
missiles.
Opponents of ABM systems have also universally opposed the development
of a 'High Frontier' or 'Star Wars' type system to defend against
incoming missiles. Reasons cited have ranged all the way from
cost to practicality to the ever-familiar 'destabilization' premise.
The fact is that there is probably nothing we could do that would
go further toward creating a lasting peace than to develop such
a system. The space arms race has already started. Just as we
cannot now remove nuclear weapons from the international arena,
we cannot ignore existing space weaponry.
Current space weapons technology consists primarily of ASAT (anti-satellite)
systems. These are of two types: one currently deployed by the
Soviets, consisting of satellites that explode in proximity to
enemy (U.S.) satellites, disabling them; the other, being tested
by the United States, works much like an air-to-air missile, launched
from an F-15 fighter and hitting its target in space.
In any type of war, satellites are vital to the conflict. They
are increasingly relied on for communications and they are our
only source of reconnaissance data. Thus, we can be sure
that the first step in a superpower conflict would be for one
to 'blind' the other by knocking out its satellite capability.
To maintain nuclear deterrence in the space age, we have no choice
but to defend our space outposts.
Beyond protecting our satellites, why not construct a total system
resistant to nuclear attack composed of ground-based and space-based
ABMs? Even if, as the critics claim, the system would not be impervious,
it would severely limit our exposure to Soviet missiles. Further,
it would be a safety net against nuclear terrorism--a fast-growing
threat. (Jane's Defence Weekly stated on April 24 of this year
that Iran is likely to have a nuclear weapon ready within two
years.)
If such a system is impossible, impractical,
or fiscally unfeasible, we must find that out through extensive
study and research. The sad fact is that if we do nothing, and
the concept turns out to be a workable one after all, we will
only know when the Russians deploy theirs. Given the Soviet lead
in space technology, I believe the question is not if but when.
CIVIL DEFENSE
In addition to pursuing research and development of space weaponry,
we must concentrate on civil and industrial defense. One of the
most misguided allegations of the freeze proponents is that, like
High Frontier, civil defense is destabilizing. Why? Why is it
destabilizing to prepare to minimize one's own losses? Why is
it not destabilizing when the Soviets do it?
Our military intelligence has known for years that there has been
a massive civil defense effort within the Soviet Union. Not only
that, but a large portion of the Soviet industrial capacity has
been hardened to be able to withstand a near miss from the less
accurate sub-launched missile attack. According to Dr. Katz, up
to 50 percent of Soviet industry could be protected from a Poseidon
attack, and up to 25 percent could withstand even our new Trident
sub-launched missiles.
We see that the Soviets plan for nuclear war. They are prepared
for it. They intend to win it, and their population is, if not
perfectly protected, at least better off than our own.
Not everyone in the world believes the fantasy that civil defense
is useless. Prophets of doom such as Carl Sagan and Jonathan Schell
continue to ramble about such things as 'Nuclear Winter' (a theory
that maintains that if a certain number of nuclear weapons were
exploded, the temperature of the entire earth would drop to the
point of killing everyone on the planet) and the 'Doomsday Clock'—a
philosophical representation of a clock that measures the status
of humanity. If the hands ever reach midnight, this represents
total annihilation by nuclear war. Currently, the hands are at
five minutes before midnight, according to Schell. Despite the
popularization of these notions as a component of contemporary
thought, preparation is still the better part of valor.
To put it in perspective, imagine if our nation had a total program
for civil defense. Imagine if for the past 20 years, all of the
energy and money that has been dedicated to worrying about and
demonstrating against nuclear war had been spent preparing for
it. If every home had a blast shelter, every factory was hardened
to resist attack, and we had a comprehensive program for emergency
resource management, damage to our society would be limited and
far less would be at stake. And the Soviets would think long and
hard before provoking us.
Sound farfetched? Reminiscent of the 1950s? Sweden doesn't think
so. A nation of 8.3 million people situated only 180 miles from
the huge Soviet naval base at Murmansk, the Swedes have shown
great resolve to ready themselves for conflict. According to Will
Brownell in an article for Survive magazine, Sweden has a five-point
plan, linking "The Armed Forces, The Civil Defense Network,
Economic Defense, Psychological Defense and Emergency Planning
of the Society." They believe that the next war will be a
total war and that they must have a total defense, utilizing all
of the resources of their peacetime society.
To start with, the Swedes have blast shelters for two out of three
of their citizens. How did it get that way? It wasn't through
some kind of government program to suddenly and massively construct
a civil defense. It was slowly and surely over a period of 40
years. Any time a new structure is built, it must meet a national
standard for civil defense preparedness. Upon completion, the
government then reimburses the builder for the civil defense-related
costs.
The logic of this program is superb. The blast shelters are incorporated
everywhere and have multiple uses as classrooms, libraries, and
storage facilities. Additionally, the research and development
is carried out on an ongoing basis. Such topics as blast doors,
psychological effects of confinement, and heat effects on basement
shelters are studied in depth. Sweden is now the only nation besides
the Soviet Union to mass-produce masks and air filters for children.
There are also Swedish firms that specialize in the protection
of all communication and electronic gear from the EMP (electromagnetic
pulse) effect as well as companies which offer full lines of blast
doors for shelter construction.
The final result, when the best equipment is assembled carefully
under a sober long-term survival plan, is downright staggering.
Just take the example of the control center located at Rock Cavern
near Stockholm, as built over a five-year period by Svenska Vag
Ab. To service the vital Stockholm area, this control center has
been designed with these in mind: shock waves, electromagnetic
pulse, electric power, water, air filters, air conditioning, diesel
engines, fire alarms, public address systems, telephone exchange
network, lighting, external communications, air-raid alarm systems
and more. (Survive, October 1983)
Reading this makes one wonder if this country hasn't completely
lost its innovative genius! Here we are, a major contestant in
this unfortunate game of nuclear poker, and we ignore our most
valuable ace in the hole—the ability to create a civil defense
to further enhance the credibility of our deterrence.
The Swedish government looks at the private firms most vital to
its economy and infrastructure.
It requires the top 20,000 companies to follow certain emergency
planning measures. There is more still to the Swedish total defense,
but we have seen enough to recognize that the majority
of Western nations have some serious strategic and military shortcomings.
I only hope that the people of America will begin to see the reality
of the nuclear dilemma. That they will put aside the hysteria
and half-truths played upon by the peace movement and the media.
It is only by (1) seeing the Soviets for what they are, (2) acting
accordingly on the international scene, (3) accepting nuclear
weapons as an unfortunate reality, and (4) preparing ourselves
for any eventuality that we can face the future with confidence.
*The U.S. and NATO deterrent policy governing Europe states that
we do intend to use nuclear weapons first if defense against a
Warsaw Pact invasion cannot be limited to conventional weapons.
*The zero option was a proposal advanced by the Reagan administration
that called for removal of Soviet SS-4s, SS-5s and SS-20s deployed
since 1977 in exchange for cancellation of NATO Pershing II and
cruise deployments scheduled from 1983 forward. This was one of
Reagan's first overtures to the Kremlin and was rejected out of
hand.
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